Prediction markets that generate intelligence.
MacroSeer turns survey questions into competitive prediction games. The result is signal you cannot get any other way: expert-weighted consensus, calibrated by accuracy, verified against real outcomes.
Predict. Compete. Profit.
Put your industry expertise to work. Build a track record, earn an expert tier, and unlock monetization.
Predict
Browse active campaigns in your industry. Submit your prediction for real economic questions anchored to verifiable data sources like BLS, FRED, or EIA.
Compete
Climb the leaderboard as your predictions are scored on proximity, calibration, contrarian insight, and consistency. Earn your Expert or Superforecaster tier.
Profit
Win prize pools from sponsored campaigns. Opt into expert monetization so institutions pay for your signal. Your accuracy is your income.
Describe it. AI builds it. People compete.
Launch prediction markets for your industry in minutes. Get intelligence that surveys can't deliver.
Describe your question
Tell us what you want to know. Our AI Survey Architect transforms your plain-English brief into structured prediction market questions with verified anchor data.
AI builds the campaign
Questions are auto-generated with anchor values from authoritative sources (BLS, FRED, EIA, Zillow). Behavioral tie-breakers, prize structures, and gamification are configured automatically.
Participants compete
Your campaign goes live to MacroSeer's predictor network. Participants are incentivized through prizes, expert tier progression, and public leaderboard visibility.
What you get back
Expert-weighted consensus
Predictions weighted by proven accuracy, not just volume.
Divergence alerts
Know when experts disagree with the crowd before the market moves.
Resolution verification
Every prediction scored against verified government and market data.
Participation rates over 80%
Gamification drives completion rates traditional surveys cannot match.
The divergence signal nobody else has.
Real-time intelligence from verified prediction markets, weighted by expert accuracy.
Expert-Weighted Consensus
Traditional surveys weight every response equally. MacroSeer weights predictions by each participant's verified track record. Superforecasters (2.5x weight) have demonstrably higher accuracy than the crowd.
The result is a consensus signal that has historically outperformed unweighted crowd predictions by a significant margin.
Divergence Alerts
When the expert-weighted consensus diverges from the raw crowd consensus by more than your configured threshold, you receive an immediate alert. This divergence is a leading indicator: domain experts detecting shifts before they become visible to the general market.
Available via API, email digest, or dashboard. Configure per-vertical thresholds and alert routing.
Signal Products
- Weekly Signal Index by vertical
- Real-time divergence API
- Expert-weighted consensus feed
- Historical accuracy database
Verification
- Immutable prediction audit trail
- Cryptographic verification tokens
- Resolution against BLS, FRED, EIA
- Public share cards with proof
Coverage
- 11 industry verticals
- Weekly publication cadence
- Custom campaign commissioning
- White-label API access